Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.192867 0.219651 0.248406 0.281525 0.318567 0.358673 0.405330
2025-11-16 0.153660 0.188713 0.228885 0.278160 0.336789 0.404126 0.487119
2025-11-23 0.126352 0.165749 0.213533 0.275389 0.352936 0.446499 0.567444
2025-11-30 0.109483 0.152269 0.206817 0.280823 0.377878 0.500001 0.664349
2025-12-07 0.094153 0.138227 0.197053 0.280352 0.394117 0.542741 0.750009
2025-12-14 0.082006 0.126580 0.188641 0.280016 0.409478 0.584397 0.836205
2025-12-21 0.072318 0.116972 0.181631 0.280313 0.424898 0.626300 0.924644
2025-12-28 0.065416 0.110487 0.178147 0.284852 0.446017 0.676765 1.027436
2026-01-04 0.060210 0.105883 0.176782 0.292029 0.471007 0.733744 1.142388
2026-01-11 0.054635 0.099952 0.172628 0.294273 0.488310 0.780041 1.243886
2026-01-18 0.050549 0.095962 0.171044 0.300168 0.511277 0.835698 1.361987
2026-01-25 0.047310 0.093019 0.170788 0.307979 0.537491 0.897432 1.492286
2026-02-01 0.042559 0.086965 0.164923 0.306303 0.548776 0.937440 1.592664
2026-02-08 0.038491 0.081670 0.159827 0.305409 0.561129 0.979688 1.698809
2026-02-15 0.034808 0.076650 0.154690 0.303899 0.572137 1.020141 1.804007
2026-02-22 0.032639 0.074341 0.154257 0.310683 0.597797 1.086027 1.954208
2026-03-01 0.029839 0.070396 0.150332 0.310633 0.611194 1.131770 2.072843
2026-03-08 0.027330 0.066742 0.146587 0.310522 0.624301 1.177486 2.193453
2026-03-15 0.025141 0.063501 0.143323 0.310990 0.638352 1.225374 2.319910
2026-03-22 0.023611 0.061545 0.142463 0.316053 0.661230 1.289912 2.478430
2026-03-29 0.022470 0.060339 0.143033 0.323977 0.689973 1.366307 2.661411
2026-04-05 0.020949 0.058043 0.141052 0.326466 0.708204 1.424280 2.813728
2026-04-12 0.019875 0.056700 0.141008 0.332953 0.734648 1.498616 2.999070